GeminiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedData quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 1, 2026, 8:51 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
$2.9 or above 82.5%Leader of 4 outcomes
$2.9 or above 82.5%Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
31.0 pt
Wide spreadTraders
0
Market data
Updated 19 minutes ago
Sep 30, 26, 7:57 PM UTCOct 31, 26, 9:00 PM UTC
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Interval NGAS price prediction event expiring on October 31, 2026 at 5pm ET
- If the price of Natural Gas is $2.9 or above on October 31, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior.
- Outcome verified against the KK_RFR_NATGASUSDC index.
- This index provides a 60 second average of the [NATGAS-USDC](https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/xyz:NATGAS) price.
- View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/NATGAS1_Terms_and_Conditions_74071889-27c7-4398-9fc7-203097d4d2c2.pdf).