PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: $4.2800-4.2899
Resolved: Oct 25, 2026, 4:01 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 4:02 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
$4.2800-4.2899100%
$4.2900-4.29990%
$4.3000-4.30990%
$4.3100-4.31990%
$4.3200+0%
<$4.28001%
$4.2800-4.2899Won
Before close: 100% ·
$4.2900-4.2999Lost
Before close: 0% ·
$4.3000-4.3099Lost
Before close: 0% ·
$4.3100-4.3199Lost
Before close: 0% ·
$4.3200+Lost
Before close: 0% ·
<$4.2800Lost
Before close: 0% ·
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KalshiTexas gas prices in Oct 2026
KalshiWill gas prices in New York exceed $4.1 for the week ending October 26, 2026? (gasoline) (fuel costs) (pump costs)?
ForecastExRules
This market will resolve according to the US national average price of regular gasoline published by AAA for October 25, 2026.
- This market resolves based on the US national average price of regular gasoline published by AAA at https://gasprices.aaa.com/ in the "National Average Gas Prices" table under the "Regular" column and the "Current Avg." row.
- Each date's price is the price displayed at 10:00 AM ET on that date, provided that at that time the "Price as of" date shown on the webpage is that date and the "Yesterday Avg." row in the same column shows the previous date's price.
- If either condition is not met at 10:00 AM ET, the price will be observed at the first time on that date at which both are met; if both are not met by 11:59 PM ET on that date, the price displayed in the table at that time will be used.
- If AAA does not display the US national average price of regular gasoline in the table at the time of observation, the price displayed elsewhere on the webpage will be used.
- If AAA displays no US national average price of regular gasoline on the specified webpage at any time on the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent previously-published AAA US national average price of regular gasoline.