KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Before Nov 1, 2026 (10%)
Resolved: Oct 14, 2026, 1:48 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 14, 2026, 12:50 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Before Jan 1, 202765%
Before Apr 1, 202771%
Before Dec 1, 202645%
Before Nov 1, 202620%
Before Apr 1, 2027Lost
Before Jan 1, 2027Lost
Before Dec 1, 2026Lost
Before Nov 1, 2026Won
Before Oct 1, 2026Lost
Before Aug 14, 2026Lost
Before Sep 1, 2026Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by which date?
PolymarketPROP BET - What will happen in Trump's attempt to fire Fed Reserve Gov Lisa Cook? [Add Answers]
Manifold MarketsWill Lisa Cook leave the office of Federal Reserve governor in 2026?
FutuurLisa Cook out as Fed Governor by which date?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor?
KalshiWill Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by which date?
PolymarketRules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the President of the United States has tried to fire Lisa Cook as member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ABCLisa Cookthe White HouseCBSthe Associated PressThe Washington PostAxiosCNNThe Wall Street JournalFox NewsThe New York TimesNBCSemaforPoliticoBloomberg NewsReuters
- A "try to fire" includes any of the following:
- The President signs an executive order, memorandum, or other official document stating termination; Directs any Cabinet member or senior official to terminate the person; Publicly states (in a speech, interview, press conference, or verified social media) that he has fired or decided to fire the person; The White House officially announces termination; Sends written communication to the person informing them of termination; Initiates formal legal proceedings for removal
- The following do NOT qualify:
- Statements that the person "should" resign or be fired; Expressions of dissatisfaction; Asking or pressuring for voluntary resignation; Stating the President is "looking into" whether he can fire the person; Statements by other officials unless directed by the President; Unsent letters ordering termination
- This market resolves on the President's attempt to fire, not on whether such attempt is legally valid, successful, or results in the person leaving office.
