PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Nov 14, 2026, 6:23 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
December 31 · —
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Stored reference
December 31 4%Leader of 6 outcomes
December 31 4%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
$3.5K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$2.8K
Bid / Ask
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December 31Spread
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Comments
0
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Apr 16, 26, 4:58 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
August 31Lost
July 31Lost
June 30Lost
October 31Lost
September 30Lost
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · December 31
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Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor?
KalshiJerome Powell out of Fed Board by which date?
PolymarketWill Trump try to fire Kevin Warsh?
KalshiJonathan Powell out as UK National Security Adviser by which date?
PolymarketAnother NVIDIA board member announced resignation or removal by which date?
PolymarketJerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
KalshiRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
- If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
- Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
- The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
