PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probabilityDecember 31 21%-2.0%
Market quality
40 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$13.4K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
4.8% / 6.4%
Spread
33.3%
Wide spread7d Change
+0.9%
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Apr 16, 26, 5:03 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Selected outcome
December 3121%
Also available on Kalshi
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor?
6mo
13%
1%
1%
28 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$3.8K
24h Vol$0
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
- If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
- Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
- The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
- If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
- Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
- The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.