PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityDecember 31 35%-1.5%
Market quality
52 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$477.8
Liquidity
$3.1K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
33.0% / 37.0%
Spread
12.1%
Wide spread7d Change
+1.5%
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Jan 5, 26, 9:13 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
December 3135%
Volume trend
$478Jul 323d of dataJul 26
Macro-Sensitive Assets
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve.
- If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S.
- Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.