PROP BET - What will happen in Trump's attempt to fire Fed Reserve Gov Lisa Cook? [Add Answers]
FedOne-OffPoliticsUS PoliticsElection2mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 2:05 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastA court issues a temporary injunction preventing Cook’s removal before 2026 100%Leader of 21 outcomes
Forecasters
56
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleAug 27, 25, 2:24 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 3:14 AM UTC
Trends
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
[PROP BET] What will happen with Trump’s military deployments to cities? [ADD ANSWERS]
Manifold MarketsWill Lisa Cook leave the office of Federal Reserve governor in 2026?
FutuurLisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by which date?
PolymarketLisa Cook out as Fed Governor by which date?
Manifold MarketsWill the Committee of Inquiry recommend Lisa Cook's removal?
KalshiWill Trump state that he has fired Lisa Cook?
KalshiRules
This market refers only to the seat held by Lisa Cook, not any other Fed seats
- Update 2025-08-27 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Announces replacement means Trump announces an intended replacement for Lisa Cook's seat; the nominee does not need to be seated.
- Thus, courts blocking the replacement does not preclude the announcement outcome; both can occur.
- Update 2025-08-27 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - "By 2026" means "before 2026", not by the end of 2026.
- "By" and "before" are used interchangeably in answer options; expect "before" to be used consistently.
