[PROP BET] What will happen with Trump’s military deployments to cities? [ADD ANSWERS]
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsGeopolitics2mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastTrump deploys troops to any state with a Republican governor 100%Leader of 9 outcomes
Forecasters
12
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleOct 8, 25, 5:53 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 6:37 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
On Aug 11, 2025, President Trump issued Executive Order 14333 declaring a crime emergency in Washington, D.C., shifting MPD to federal purposes and activating D.C. National Guard support; additional measures followed on Aug 25.
- (whitehouse.gov)
- On Oct 8, 2025, reporting indicated Texas National Guard troops arrived at a staging site in Illinois amid plans targeting the Chicago area; Illinois and Chicago filed suit.
- Related reporting described planned expansions (e.g., Memphis).
- Trump and advisors have publicly discussed invoking the Insurrection Act if governors or courts impede deployments.
- Resolution criteria
