Will a major terrorist attack with over 100 casualties be committed against the US during Trump's current term?
US PoliticsGeopoliticsCrime & Justice2yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jun 25, 2026, 3:43 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current community forecastYes 20%
Forecasters
38
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 30 days ago
StaleFeb 5, 25, 9:41 PMJan 21, 29, 2:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes20%
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