KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 83%
Market quality
69 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.4K
Liquidity
$3K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
17.0% / 18.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Aug 17, 26, 10:00 PMMar 31, 27, 3:29 PM
Trends
Rules
If the National Park Service reports that Yellowstone National Park recreation visits in calendar year 2026 are above 5 million, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:National Park Service
- Resolution will be based on the finalized 2026 Recreation Visits figure published by the National Park Service Visitor Use Statistics program for Yellowstone National Park.
- Preliminary monthly or year-to-date figures will not be used for final resolution.
Open markets
Society & Culture
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- 200-219+3.0pt19.1%
- 180-199-4.0pt18.1%
- 220-239+8.0pt17.1%
+23 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $588.8K
- 24h Vol
- $180.1K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 3 - September 5, 2026?
- 40-64-5.0pt41%
- 65-89+12.5pt39%
- 90-114+2.0pt10.5%
+7 more outcomes
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 5 - September 7, 2026?
- 40-6449%
- 65-8924%
- <4020%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.9K
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- 28-50.5pt0%
- 31-0.1pt0%
+2 more outcomes
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- Before Jul 1, 202756%
- Before Jan 1, 2027-23.0pt23%
- Before Dec 1, 2026+2.0pt10%
- Total Vol
- $9K
KALSHIHawaii total visitor arrivals in 2026
- Above 9.6 million91%
- Above 9.8 million52%
- Above 10.0 million12%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.5K
- 24h Vol
- $704
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026??
- Kalshi prices No at 83% as of September 4, 2026.
- When does Will Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026? resolve?
- Will Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on March 31, 2027.
- How is Will Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the National Park Service reports that Yellowstone National Park recreation visits in calendar year 2026 are above 5 million, then the market resolves to Yes.