PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
200-219 12.4%+1.0ptLeader of 26 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
80 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$52.3K
Liquidity
$186.4K
High liquiditySpread
0.5 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Aug 18, 26, 4:00 AMAug 28, 26, 4:00 PM
Trends
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 21 12:00 PM ET to August 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
- For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
- Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
- The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com.
Open markets
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets August 20 - August 22, 2026?
- 65-89+10.5pt44.5%
- 40-64+2.0pt30.7%
- 90-114+1.1pt18.8%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $290.2K
- 24h Vol
- $188.4K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets August 20 - August 22, 2026?
- 65-89+15.0pt43.3%
- 40-64-3.5pt28.9%
- 90-114+2.5pt18.3%
+7 more outcomes
KALSHIMrBeast: 1 Billion subscribers
- No99%
- Yes-7.0pt1%
- Total Vol
- $24.2K
- 24h Vol
- $4.2K
POLYMARKETTed Cruz # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026?
- 140-159+9.0pt69.2%
- 160-179+20.0pt28.2%
- 180-199+1.9pt2.6%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETNYC Mayor # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026?
- 20-39+3.3pt99%
- 40-59-3.4pt1%
- <20-0.4pt0%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETTurner Prize 2026 Winner
- Artist A50%
- Artist B50%
- Artist C50%
+13 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $4.1K
- Khamenei # posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?
- NYC Mayor # posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?
- Major news story in Aug 2026?
- Will UC Berkeley out-of-state tuition exceed $55,000 in 2026?
- 60 minutes: Joe Rogan joins as a Correspondent this year?
- Which celebrities will appear in mobile game advertisements this year?
- Which colleges will see their ranking drop this year?
- What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?
- US test scores in Math in 2026?
- Hermès Kelly: Highest auction sale price this year
- Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Elon Musk # tweets August 21 - August 28, 2026??
- Polymarket prices 200-219 at 12% as of August 21, 2026.
- When does Elon Musk # tweets August 21 - August 28, 2026? resolve?
- Elon Musk # tweets August 21 - August 28, 2026? is scheduled to resolve on August 28, 2026.
- How is Elon Musk # tweets August 21 - August 28, 2026? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 21 12:00 PM ET to August 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET.