PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Stored reference
No 84%
No 84%Market quality
56 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.6K
Liquidity
$524.9
Low liquidityBid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
—
Comments
0
Market data
Updated 24 minutes ago
Oct 9, 26, 1:33 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Market depth · No
Loading selected book…
Book received (not venue quote time): —
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is publicly confirmed that the “Taraia Object,” or any other object, is wreckage or a component of the Lockheed Electra 10E that disappeared with Amelia Earhart and Fred Noonan on July 2, 1937, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of resolving this market, "confirmed" means an official public announcement by the research team, institution, or government body involved in the investigation or its authorized representative, definitively confirming the identity of the object as wreckage or a component of that specific aircraft, based on physical inspection, imaging, or recovered material evidence.
- The evidence must support identification as Earhart’s specific aircraft; resemblance to an aircraft or identification as a Lockheed Electra alone is insufficient.
- Independent corroboration is not required.
- Confirmation of an individual component qualifies; locating or recovering the complete aircraft is not required.