Colorado passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?
1.0 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElectionSociety & Culture1mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Yes 61%-1.0pt
Market quality
32 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$171.6
Low liquidityBid / Ask
43.0% / 79.0%
Spread
36.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
7d Change
+2.0 pts
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Jul 10, 26, 10:31 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
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Manifold MarketsRules
Colorado Initiative 109 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would restrict certain school and college sports based on an individual's biological sex.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Colorado statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
- This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
