Data quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 24, 2026, 2:48 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecast
No 93%
Forecasters
17
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingDec 13, 24, 8:11 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will an AI ballot measure in any state be endorsed in a Scott Alexander post by the 2026 elections?
Manifold MarketsWill the Massachusetts all-party primary voting format ballot measure pass?
Manifold MarketsArizona passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?
PolymarketWill the Denver, CO ballot measure, Prohibit Force Feeding Birds and Sale of Foie Gras pass in the November Election?
Manifold MarketsColorado passes ballot measure imposing life sentences on underage sex traffickers?
PolymarketLeague City, Texas passes ballot measure approving the police use of Flock Cameras?
PolymarketRules
Resolves Yes if there is a California ballot measure that refers to Artificial Intelligence in the short description that is printed on the ballot.
