Current implied probability
Yes 64%
Yes 64%Market quality
40 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$662.4
Liquidity
$357
Low liquidityBid / Ask
50.0% / 69.0%
Spread
19.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Sep 30, 26, 11:48 PM UTCNov 4, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Alaska passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?
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PolymarketKansas passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?
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Manifold MarketsWill there be an AI ballot measure in California in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
Arizona Proposition 144 (HCR 2001) is a legislatively referred measure that is scheduled to appear as a ballot measure in Arizona in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would amend the Arizona Constitution to specify that only citizens of the United States may vote and register to vote in Arizona elections and require voters to present government-issued proof of identity to cast a ballot, whether in person or by mail, among other items.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Arizona statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
- This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
