Current implied probability
Yes 84%+10.5pt
Yes 84%+10.5ptMarket quality
59 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$140
Liquidity
$10.5K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
82.0% / 86.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Sep 30, 26, 11:47 PM UTCNov 4, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsWill there be an AI ballot measure in California in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
Alaska Ballot Measure 3 is a citizen-initiated measure that is scheduled to appear as a ballot measure in Alaska in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would amend state law to provide that only a person who is a citizen of the United States may vote in any election in Alaska.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Alaska statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
- This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
