KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Above 1.7 million · —
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Stored price
Above 2.0 million 72%Market line of 8 lines
Above 2.0 million 72%Market quality
60 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2.6K
Open interest
$10.7K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Above 1.7 millionSpread
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Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Aug 17, 26, 11:00 PM UTCMar 31, 27, 3:29 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above 1.7 million
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsWill Zvi write a full report on Muse Wonder?
Manifold MarketsRules
If NPS reports that New River Gorge National Park recreation visits in 2026 is above 2.0 million, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:National Park Service
- The Underlying is the finalized 2026 Recreation Visits total for New River Gorge NP & PRES (park code NERI) published by the National Park Service Visitor Use Statistics program. Preliminary current-year figures will not be used for final resolution.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 1.7 million
- If NPS reports that New River Gorge National Park recreation visits in 2026 is above 1.7 million, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 1.8 million
- If NPS reports that New River Gorge National Park recreation visits in 2026 is above 1.8 million, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 1.9 million
- If NPS reports that New River Gorge National Park recreation visits in 2026 is above 1.9 million, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 2.0 million
- If NPS reports that New River Gorge National Park recreation visits in 2026 is above 2.0 million, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 2.1 million
- If NPS reports that New River Gorge National Park recreation visits in 2026 is above 2.1 million, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 2.2 million
- If NPS reports that New River Gorge National Park recreation visits in 2026 is above 2.2 million, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 2.3 million
- If NPS reports that New River Gorge National Park recreation visits in 2026 is above 2.3 million, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 2.4 million
- If NPS reports that New River Gorge National Park recreation visits in 2026 is above 2.4 million, then the market resolves to Yes.