KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
At least 1 49%-4.0ptMarket line of 5 lines
At least 1 49%-4.0ptMarket quality
39 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$139.6
Open interest
$3.2K
Medium open interestSpread
8.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Oct 1, 26, 2:00 PM UTCNov 1, 26, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will I be published in a major news outlet by the end of 2026?
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KalshiWill I still be an active Manifold user in 8 years (08.12.2033) ?
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Manifold MarketsRules
If the number of New York Times front page banner headlines is at least 1 in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:New York Times
- How this is resolved This market resolves based on the front page displayed in the NYT Store's 'Front Page Reprint' section. "Banner headline" refers to a standalone centered headline surrounded only by whitespace. Past examples: Jan 5, 2026; Jan 4, 2026; Nov 5, 2025; May 31, 2024; Jun 24, 2016
Rules for each outcome
- At least 1
- If the number of New York Times front page banner headlines is at least 1 in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 2
- If the number of New York Times front page banner headlines is at least 2 in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 3
- If the number of New York Times front page banner headlines is at least 3 in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 5
- If the number of New York Times front page banner headlines is at least 5 in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 10
- If the number of New York Times front page banner headlines is at least 10 in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
