PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityNo 75.3%
Market quality
32 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$14.7
Liquidity
$252
Low liquidityBid / Ask
15.0% / 34.0%
Spread
19.0 pt
Wide spread7d Change
+0.5 pts
Market data
Updated 22 minutes ago
Jun 30, 26, 5:26 PMDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes25%
Volume trend
$15Jul 510d of dataJul 28
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Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the existence of another Elon Musk child is confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Any child explicitly claimed by Elon Musk or confirmed to be his child by a consensus of credible reporting will qualify.
- Qualifying announcements of a pregnancy will count.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Elon Musk and a consensus of credible reporting.