KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Yale 59%+7.0ptLeader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
46 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$107.2
Liquidity
$4.4K
Medium liquiditySpread
5.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
May 14, 26, 12:00 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which colleges will @jollyroger182 get accepted to?
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Manifold MarketsWill Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?
PolymarketMaine lobster landings in 2026
KalshiWill California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
KalshiRules
If Caltech has a lower ranking in the first U.S. News & World Report Best National University Rankings released after Issuance than its ranking as of Issuance, the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:U.S. News and World Report
- Resolution is based solely on the numerical rank assigned to Caltech — moving from an unshared rank to a tied rank at the same number does not constitute a drop.
- If Caltech is no longer listed in the rankings, the market resolves to Yes.
- If the rank is unchanged, the market resolves to No. If Columbia has a lower ranking in the first U.S. News & World Report Best National University Rankings released after Issuance than its ranking as of Issuance, the market resolves to Yes.
- Resolution is based solely on the numerical rank assigned to Columbia — moving from an unshared rank to a tied rank at the same number does not constitute a drop.
Open markets
Society & CultureKALSHIMaine lobster landings in 2026
- Above 55 million pounds94%
- Above 70 million pounds65%
- Above 75 million pounds44%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $7.9K
- 24h Vol
- $7.2K
KALSHIWill California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
- Yes60%
- No40%
- Total Vol
- $12.2K
- 24h Vol
- $1.8K
KALSHIWho will be in the US News top 20 universities?
- Vanderbilt87%
- Rice84%
- UCLA79%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $17.3K
- 24h Vol
- $298
FORECASTEXWill UCLA out-of-state tuition exceed $55,000 in 2026?
- No77%
- Yes23%
- Total Vol
- $219
- 24h Vol
- $219
KALSHIUS test scores in Reading in 2026?
- Significant decrease+4.0pt60.4%
- No significant difference-11.0pt28.7%
- Significant increase+6.2pt10.9%
- Total Vol
- $58.8K
KALSHIWill West Virginia's population grow in 2026?
- No77%
- Yes23%
- Total Vol
- $1.8K
- 24h Vol
- $200
- Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- Harry Kane Knighted in 2026
- New River Gorge recreation visits in 2026
- Will Glacier National Park set a visitation record in 2026?
- Will UC reinstate its SAT/ACT requirement before 2028?
- Hawaii total visitor arrivals in 2026
- Will UCLA out-of-state tuition exceed $53,000 in 2026?
- Is Earth flat?
- Bozeman-area housing units authorized in 2026
- US test scores in Math in 2026?
- Major news story in Sep 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which colleges will see their ranking drop this year??
- Kalshi prices Yale at 59% as of September 15, 2026.
- When does Which colleges will see their ranking drop this year? resolve?
- Which colleges will see their ranking drop this year? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Which colleges will see their ranking drop this year? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Caltech has a lower ranking in the first U.S. News & World Report Best National University Rankings released after Issuance than its ranking as of Issuance, the market resolves to Yes.