KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSettled by the venue, market by market
Resolved: Oct 1, 2026, 2:12 PM
This event has no single winner. The venue settled each market separately; each market shows its own result.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 1, 2026, 1:35 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
At least 11%
At least 517%
At least 1011%
At least 22%
At least 5Lost
At least 10Lost
At least 3Lost
At least 2Lost
At least 1Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Major news story in Oct 2026?
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PolymarketRules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the number of New York Times front page banner headlines is the named outcome in Sep 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:New York Times
- "Banner headline" refers to a standalone centered headline surrounded only by whitespace.
- This market resolves based on the front page displayed in the NYT Store's 'Front Page Reprint' section.
- Past examples: Jan 5, 2026; Jan 4, 2026; Nov 5, 2025; May 31, 2024; Jun 24, 2016