Will Aella (the original creator) have a baby by the end of 2027?
One-OffHealth & MedicineSociety & Culture1y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 68.9%
Forecasters
5
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 16 hours ago
StaleAug 1, 26, 4:22 PM UTCJan 2, 28, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Mkgoose go on a date with Aella before April of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill I have a baby by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill @Parallax have a baby by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsAnother Elon baby by December 31?
PolymarketHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
KalshiRules
A baby at any stage of production counts, 'being pregnant' at the end of 2027 will resolve a yes.
- If I become pregnant and then become unpregnant without producing a baby before the end of 2027, this will not count as a yes.
- I have no serious babydaddy prospects right now.
- I do definitely want a kid in general.
- Resolution note: This market resolves identically to the corresponding source market, including N/A or partial resolutions.
- Any first-person language refers to that market's creator, not this market's creator.
Open markets
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.2pt97%
- Yes+0.2pt3%
- Total Vol
- $18.1M
- 24h Vol
- $23.7K
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+0.6pt4%
- Total Vol
- $1.9M
- 24h Vol
- $9.3K
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+4.0pt65%
- September41%
- June28%
- Total Vol
- $97.8K
POLYMARKETEbola pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.1pt97%
- Yes+0.1pt3%
- Total Vol
- $759.2K
- 24h Vol
- $4K
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 400097%
- Above 6000-3.0pt59%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1M
- 24h Vol
- $3.5K
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+1.0pt94.1%
- Yes-1.0pt5.9%
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
- 24h Vol
- $1.5K
- When will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics' lonvo-z?
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
- FDA decision: Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline (in 2026)
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
- When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- FDA decision: Saroglitazar by Zydus Therapeutics (in 2026)
- FDA decision: Ifinatamab Deruxtecan by Daiichi Sankyo (in 2026)
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Aella (the original creator) have a baby by the end of 2027??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 69% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Aella (the original creator) have a baby by the end of 2027? resolve?
- Will Aella (the original creator) have a baby by the end of 2027? is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2028.
- How is Will Aella (the original creator) have a baby by the end of 2027? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: A baby at any stage of production counts, 'being pregnant' at the end of 2027 will resolve a yes.