An American quickly has at least 50 children in a 3 year interval, anytime through 2031
One-OffSociety & CultureHealth & Medicine5yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 56%
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4
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Forecast
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Updated 16 hours ago
StaleSep 26, 23, 8:02 PM UTCJan 2, 32, 7:59 AM UTC
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Manifold MarketsRules
They must be American and living in the USA, reported by US media.
- They must have multiple children via wives/surrogates/etc such that there is a time interval of 3 years such that there are at least 50 children born within it.
- The person of interest can be the father or mother, as long as the children are substantially their genetic children (some minor genetic modification may be allowed)
- e.g. this story, where through surrogates, they have a huge number of children with birthdays just a few months apart: - children ages: Mustafa, 19 months; Mariam, 18 months; Ayrin, 18 months; Alisa, 18 months; Hasan, 17 months; Judi, 17 months; Harper, 16 months; Teresa, 16 months; Huseyin, 16 months and Anna, 15 months.
- https://www.dailymail.co.uk/femail/article-10934703/Russian-woman-21-babies-Turkish-millionaire-devastated-arrest.html
- [link preview]
