An American quickly has at least 160 children in a 4 year interval, anytime through 2036
One-OffSociety & Culture9yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 7:45 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastNo 82.2%
Forecasters
3
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated yesterday
StaleSep 26, 23, 8:12 PM UTCJan 2, 36, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
They must be American and living in the USA, reported by US media.
- They must have multiple children via wives/surrogates/etc such that there is a time interval of 4 years such that there are at least 160 children born within it.
- The person of interest can be the father or mother, as long as the children are substantially their genetic children (some minor genetic modification may be allowed)
- e.g. this story, where through surrogates, they have a huge number of children with birthdays just a few months apart: - children ages: Mustafa, 19 months; Mariam, 18 months; Ayrin, 18 months; Alisa, 18 months; Hasan, 17 months; Judi, 17 months; Harper, 16 months; Teresa, 16 months; Huseyin, 16 months and Anna, 15 months.
- https://www.dailymail.co.uk/femail/article-10934703/Russian-woman-21-babies-Turkish-millionaire-devastated-arrest.html
- [link preview]
