Above 143.33 million visitors
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Stored price
No Stored bid–ask78%–79%Collected: Last trade: 78% · Trade time unknownNormalized research estimate: 78%Prices are percentages of payout, before fees; these stored observations are not executable quotes.
No Stored bid–ask78%–79%Collected: Last trade: 78% · Trade time unknownNormalized research estimate: 78%Prices are percentages of payout, before fees; these stored observations are not executable quotes.Market quality
61 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$32
Open interest
$3.3K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
—
Market data
Updated 26 minutes ago
Aug 19, 26, 1:00 AM UTCFeb 26, 27, 2:59 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · No
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Visitors to Florida in 2026
KalshiWill the foreign population of Japan exceed 5 million people by the 2025 census?
Manifold MarketsWill the world population decrease before 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill Japan continue to have negative population growth every year through 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill the south korean fertility rate increase in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill US fertility rise above 1.7 at any time during Trump’s second term?
Manifold MarketsRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:VISIT FLORIDA
- The Underlying is the statewide total visitor estimate for calendar year 2026, measured in visitor person-trips, as reported by VISIT FLORIDA. The total includes domestic, Canadian, and overseas visitors and excludes Florida residents. It does not use airport passengers, hotel stays, visitor days, or tourism spending. Resolution uses the first official VISIT FLORIDA publication containing a complete calendar-year 2026 visitor estimate; subsequent revisions do not affect resolution.
Rules for each outcome
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
