Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
One-OffPoliticsElectionSociety & Culture4mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 87%
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$32.7
Liquidity
$1.4K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
11.0% / 15.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
7d Change
-0.5 pts
Market data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Nov 5, 25, 5:03 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pierre Poilievre ceases to be Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Pierre Poilievre's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pierre Poilievre and the Conservative Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
