Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
One-OffPoliticsElectionSociety & Culture2mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Stored reference
No 88.1%
No 88.1%Market quality
59 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$310.5
Liquidity
$11.1K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
—
Comments
0
7d Change
-0.5 pts
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Nov 5, 25, 5:03 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Market depth · No
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pierre Poilievre ceases to be Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Pierre Poilievre's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pierre Poilievre and the Conservative Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.