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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

0.5% (24h)One-OffPoliticsElectionSociety & Culture6mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 12%+0.0%
Market quality

40 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$22.7K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

10.0% / 13.0%

Spread

30.0%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 4 minutes ago

Nov 5, 25, 5:10 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes12%

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pierre Poilievre ceases to be Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET).

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An announcement of Pierre Poilievre's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
  • The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pierre Poilievre and the Conservative Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pierre Poilievre ceases to be Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET).

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An announcement of Pierre Poilievre's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
  • The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pierre Poilievre and the Conservative Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.