PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 1, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
180-199 16.4%Leader of 26 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$77K
Liquidity
$169K
High liquiditySpread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleAug 29, 26, 4:00 AMSep 8, 26, 4:00 PM
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 1 12:00 PM ET to September 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
- For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
- Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
- The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com.
Open markets
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 3 - September 5, 2026?
- 40-64-2.0pt44.2%
- 65-89+7.0pt30.8%
- <40-4.5pt14.4%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $40.4K
- 24h Vol
- $39.5K
POLYMARKETApple Maps renames Lake Ontario to Lake America by which date?
- September 30+4.8pt95%
- September 466%
- September 353%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETIndiana lions in custody by which date?
- August 28 (12:00 PM ET)0%
- 28-50.5pt0%
- 31-0.1pt0%
+2 more outcomes
KALSHIWill NJ Transit rail on-time performance reach 90% in November?
- No78%
- Yes-15.0pt22%
- Total Vol
- $7.2K
- 24h Vol
- $2.8K
POLYMARKETClavicular and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez confirm relationship in 2026?
- No-0.6pt97%
- Yes+0.6pt3%
- Total Vol
- $4.6K
- 24h Vol
- $820.1
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- Yes85%
- No15%
- Total Vol
- $616.4
- 24h Vol
- $465.7
- Major news story in Sep 2026?
- Will UCLA out-of-state tuition exceed $55,000 in 2026?
- Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
- US test scores in Reading in 2026?
- Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by which date?
- Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- Bozeman-area housing units authorized in 2026
- Harry Kane Knighted in 2026
- Will UC reinstate its SAT/ACT requirement before 2028?
- Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?
- Which firearm will receive the most votes in Idaho's State Gun advisory question?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Elon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026??
- Polymarket prices 180-199 at 16% as of September 1, 2026.
- When does Elon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026? resolve?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026? is scheduled to resolve on September 8, 2026.
- How is Elon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 1 12:00 PM ET to September 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.