KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityYes 93%
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$1.3K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
94.0% / 96.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 18 minutes ago
Jun 17, 25, 8:45 PMJan 1, 30, 4:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes93%
Volume trend
$2Jul 44d of dataJul 17
Related Markets
5% more men than women in the US by 2055?
$3KYes: 19.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill I burnout by the end of 2026?
$2.9KYes: 24.5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the linked Aella market resolve YES?
$1.2KYes: 1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Major news story in Jul 2026?
$774.6At least 3: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will Harvard tuition exceed $63,000 in 2026?
$376Yes: 83%FORECASTEX
FORECASTEX
Bayeux Tapestry back in France by which date?
$1512027: 87%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Rules
If Karl Bushby reaches his home of Hull, England from his walk around the world before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.