KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
At least 2 · —
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Stored price
At least 2 66%Market line of 5 lines
At least 2 66%Market quality
37 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$606
Open interest
$606
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
At least 2Spread
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Market data
Updated 23 minutes ago
Nov 1, 26, 3:00 PM UTCDec 1, 26, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · At least 2
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will I be published in a major news outlet by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsMajor news report of ideological filtering of would-be resident in Praxis city project (before 2027)
Manifold MarketsMajor news report linking Praxis city project and (neo) Feudalism (before 2027)
Manifold MarketsIn what year will there next be a big news story about human genetic engineering in China?
Manifold MarketsWill Glacier National Park set a visitation record in 2026?
KalshiWill NJ Transit rail on-time performance reach 90% in November?
KalshiRules
If the number of New York Times front page banner headlines is at least 2 in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:New York Times
- How this is resolved This market resolves based on the front page displayed in the NYT Store's 'Front Page Reprint' section. "Banner headline" refers to a standalone centered headline surrounded only by whitespace. Past examples: Jan 5, 2026; Jan 4, 2026; Nov 5, 2025; May 31, 2024; Jun 24, 2016
Rules for each outcome
- At least 2
- If the number of New York Times front page banner headlines is at least 2 in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 5
- If the number of New York Times front page banner headlines is at least 5 in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 10
- If the number of New York Times front page banner headlines is at least 10 in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 1
- If the number of New York Times front page banner headlines is at least 1 in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 3
- If the number of New York Times front page banner headlines is at least 3 in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.