Will there be at least one major U.S. blackout caused by a cyberattack by 2027?
One-OffSociety & Culture2moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 93.7%
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45
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Updated 5 minutes ago
Apr 28, 25, 9:40 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
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Manifold MarketsRules
By January 1st, 2027, will there be a power blackout with at least 10 million person-hours of disruption for U.S. residents (e.g. 1 million people for 10 hours), caused by a cyberwarfare attack? (AI enabled or otherwise)
