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When will Stripe officially announce an IPO?

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Current implied probability

Before Jan 1, 2027 11%

Leader of 10 outcomes

Market quality

33 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

—

Open interest

$13.6K

Medium open interest

Market data

Updated 11 minutes ago

Jul 30, 25, 2:00 PM UTCSep 1, 26, 3:59 AM UTC

Trends

Before Jan 1, 2027

0.0 pts

11%

Before Jun 1, 2027

0.0 pts

8%

Before Apr 1, 2027

0.0 pts

6%

Before Mar 1, 2027

0.0 pts

5%

Before Feb 1, 2027

0.0 pts

3%

Before Dec 1, 2026

0.0 pts

2%

Before May 1, 2027

0.0 pts

2%

Before Nov 1, 2026

0.0 pts

1%

Before Sep 1, 2026

Lost

Before Oct 1, 2026

Lost

Related Markets

Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.

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Rules

This outcome's exact rule is not available.

Settles via:the New York Times The Wall Street Journal Bloomberg BBC ABC Reuters Financial Times

Rules for each outcome

Before Jan 1, 2027: If Stripe confirms an IPO before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Jan 1, 2027.
Before Jun 1, 2027: If Stripe confirms an IPO before Jun 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Jun 1, 2027.
Before Apr 1, 2027: If Stripe confirms an IPO before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Apr 1, 2027.
Before Mar 1, 2027: If Stripe confirms an IPO before Mar 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Mar 1, 2027.
Before Feb 1, 2027: If Stripe confirms an IPO before Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Feb 1, 2027.
Before Dec 1, 2026: If Stripe confirms an IPO before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. An IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Dec 1, 2026.
Before May 1, 2027: If Stripe confirms an IPO before May 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after May 1, 2027.
Before Sep 1, 2026: If Stripe confirms an IPO before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. An IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Sep 1, 2026.
Before Oct 1, 2026: If Stripe confirms an IPO before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. An IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Oct 1, 2026.
Before Nov 1, 2026: If Stripe confirms an IPO before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. An IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Nov 1, 2026.

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