KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityBefore Jun 1, 2027 19%Leader of 13 outcomes
Market quality
50 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$6
Liquidity
$14.6K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
6.0% / 10.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 18 minutes ago
Jul 30, 25, 2:00 PMJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Before Jan 1, 20276%
Volume trend
$6Jul 215d of dataJul 29
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If Stripe confirms an IPO before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it.
- As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Jun 1, 2026.
- If Stripe confirms an IPO before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Jul 1, 2026.
- If Stripe confirms an IPO before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.