PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityNo 70%
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$38.4K
High liquidityBid / Ask
30.1% / 30.2%
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spread7d Change
+0.1 pts
Market data
Updated 23 minutes ago
Feb 24, 26, 10:38 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes30%
Compare venues· No
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | Low | 70% | +40pt | $0 | $38.4K | 23 minutes ago | |
 KalshiMost active90% match · linked | Low | 39% | +9pt | $124.3 | $1.8K | 23 minutes ago | Open → |
 Limitless90% match · auto | Low | 70% | +40pt | $0 | $0 | 1 minute ago | Open → |
 Manifold Markets100% match · auto | — | 92% | +62pt | — | — | 1 minute ago | Open → |
Also available on Manifold Markets
Will Stripe acquire PayPal in 2026?
5mo
92.1%
7.9%
Community forecast50 forecastersType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Limitless
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?
5mo
69.8%
30.2%
30 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$2.5K
24h Vol$0
LIMITLESSAlso available on Kalshi
Will Stripe acquire PayPal this year?
1.0 pts5mo
-1.0pt61%
39%
49 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$4.9K
24h Vol$124.3
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe.
- A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms.
- Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
- An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$76Jul 917d of dataJul 26
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe.
- A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms.
- Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
- An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.