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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Corporate Actions
  3. Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?

Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?

0.1% (24h)YearlyCorporate ActionsBusiness & Corporate6mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 12%
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$249.7

Liquidity

$1.5K

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

11.0% / 13.9%

Spread

26.4%

Wide spread
7d Change

-0.1%

Market data

Updated 3 minutes ago

Feb 24, 26, 10:39 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes12%

Manifold MarketsAlso available on Manifold Markets

Manifold Markets

Will Stripe acquire PayPal in 2026?

6mo
Manifold Markets
Yes
7.9%
Manifold Markets
No
92.1%
Community forecast50 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$6.6K
24h Vol$93.5
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

LimitlessAlso available on Limitless

Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?

Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?

6mo
Yes
Yes
12.6%
No
No
87.5%
28 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$864.9
24h Vol$0
LimitlessLIMITLESS

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe.
  • A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms.
  • Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
  • An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.

Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.

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Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe.
  • A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms.
  • Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
  • An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.