PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 95%
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$5.9K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
5.4% / 5.5%
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadComments
3
7d Change
-0.8 pts
Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Feb 24, 26, 10:38 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?
PolymarketWill Stripe's valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketStripe next round valuation
LimitlessDatabricks vs Stripe — higher valuation on December 31?
PolymarketWill Stripe set a date to go public by the end of 2026?
FutuurIf Stripe acquires OpenRouter by EOY, will it be for ≥$10B?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe.
- A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms.
- Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
- An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for CoinRithm reference is 5%.
CoinRithm reference 5% · 2 venues · 0 pt venue spread
Open markets
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- December 31,+1.0pt89%
- December 15,86%
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+7 more outcomes
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- 24h Vol
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KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 2027+4.0pt98%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-2.0pt95%
- Before Jan 1, 2027-3.0pt93%
+9 more outcomes
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $1.75–$2.0T+5.5pt23.8%
- $2.0–$2.25T+1.9pt23.8%
- $2.25–$2.5T-8.0pt16.8%
+7 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 more outcomes
KALSHIWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- No92%
- Yes8%
- Total Vol
- $3.1M
- 24h Vol
- $13.9K
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026??
- Polymarket prices No at 95% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? resolve?
- Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Where else is Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Manifold Markets, Limitless, Kalshi.