KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 83%
Market quality
61 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$265.3
Liquidity
$6.7K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
12.0% / 16.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Jul 15, 26, 2:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Stripe acquire PayPal in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?
PolymarketWill Stripe's valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketStripe next round valuation
LimitlessDatabricks vs Stripe — higher valuation on December 31?
PolymarketWhen will Stripe officially announce an IPO?
KalshiRules
If Stripe and Advent International (collectively) announces an agreement to acquire PayPal before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Securities and Exchange CommissionABCCNBCThe GuardianBloombergThe Wall Street JournalFinancial TimesReutersthe New York TimesBBC
- The announcement must involve a definitive, binding agreement accompanied by public announcement.
- Letters of intent, memoranda of understanding, or agreements in principle do not qualify.
- The deal does not need to close as long as an agreement has been announced.
- Regulatory blocking or later cancellation does not affect resolution.
- Cross-border transactions qualify if a definitive agreement is announced.
Prediction Source Comparison
Open markets
Corporate ActionsPOLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+1.0pt89%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,-0.5pt83%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.8M
- 24h Vol
- $35.4K
POLYMARKETIsraeli Legislative Election Winner
- Yashar+3.5pt60.8%
- Likud-2.5pt39.2%
- Together-0.2pt0%
+3 more outcomes
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 2027+4.0pt98%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-2.0pt95%
- Before Jan 1, 2027-3.0pt93%
+9 more outcomes
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $1.75–$2.0T+5.5pt23.8%
- $2.0–$2.25T+1.9pt23.8%
- $2.25–$2.5T-8.0pt16.8%
+7 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 more outcomes
KALSHIWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- No92%
- Yes8%
- Total Vol
- $3.1M
- 24h Vol
- $13.9K
- Will Kraken's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- SB Energy IPO by which date?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- IPOs before 2027?
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by which date?
- When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?
- Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Stripe acquire PayPal this year??
- Kalshi prices No at 83% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does Will Stripe acquire PayPal this year? resolve?
- Will Stripe acquire PayPal this year? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will Stripe acquire PayPal this year? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Stripe and Advent International (collectively) announces an agreement to acquire PayPal before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is Will Stripe acquire PayPal this year? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Manifold Markets, Limitless, Polymarket.