LimitlessCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above $120B 52.4%Leader of 7 outcomes
Above $120B 52.4%Market quality
22 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
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Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Jun 13, 25, 4:56 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
the named outcome · $120B-$100B · $100B-$91.5B · $91.5B-$80B · $80B-$60B · the named outcome · the named outcome.
Additional context — Updated July 6, 2026
The sentence “The reported post-money valuation of the last round was $91.5B” contains incorrect context.
- The $91.5B figure came from a tender offer, not Stripe’s most recent funding round.
- Stripe’s most recent funding round was reported at a $50B post-money valuation.
- This market resolves based on Stripe’s next funding round, not a tender offer.
This market will resolve based on the reported post-money valuation of Stripe’s next funding round.
- The reported post-money valuation of the last round was $91.5B.
This market will resolve to "YES" if the next reported post-money valuation of Stripe is greater than $120 billion.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the named outcome is reported by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "NO."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Stripe, published at stripe.com/newsroom/news.
