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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Europe
  3. UK Renewables Obligation scheme changes
UK Renewables Obligation scheme changes

UK Renewables Obligation scheme changes

One-OffEuropeRegulationCommodities1y
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Cancellation
Cancellation 15%
Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality

40 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$6.3

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

15.0% / 16.0%

Spread

6.7%

Moderate spread
Market data

Updated 2 minutes ago

Mar 14, 26, 2:00 PMJan 1, 28, 4:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Cancellation15%

Rules

If the United Kingdom agrees to or announces the termination of the Renewables Obligation scheme for existing accredited generators before their scheduled end dates before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following:
  • Formal signing of treaties Parliamentary approval with binding effect Official ratification Formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority Official statements by authorized ministers Official press releases Formal declarations during government proceedings Official statements to international bodies
  • Phased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory also qualify.
  • The following do NOT qualify:
  • Preliminary discussions Conditional agreements contingent on circumstances Opposition party statements Leaked documents Think-tank recommendations General aspirations without specific commitment Draft legislation without approval Regional actions (unless specified) Retraction of previously announced commitments

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Rules

If the United Kingdom agrees to or announces the termination of the Renewables Obligation scheme for existing accredited generators before their scheduled end dates before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following:
  • Formal signing of treaties Parliamentary approval with binding effect Official ratification Formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority Official statements by authorized ministers Official press releases Formal declarations during government proceedings Official statements to international bodies
  • Phased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory also qualify.
  • The following do NOT qualify:
  • Preliminary discussions Conditional agreements contingent on circumstances Opposition party statements Leaked documents Think-tank recommendations General aspirations without specific commitment Draft legislation without approval Regional actions (unless specified) Retraction of previously announced commitments