Selected book midpoint
Elif Eralp · —
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Stored reference
Elif Eralp 87.6%Leader of 5 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Elif Eralp 87.6%Market quality
68 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$152.1
Liquidity
$73.5K
High liquidityOpen interest
$42.5K
Bid / Ask
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Elif EralpSpread
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Comments
8
7d Change
-0.5 pts
Market data
Updated 29 minutes ago
Aug 11, 26, 12:08 PM UTCJun 1, 27, 3:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · Elif Eralp
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the EU Deposit Facilities Rate be set above 2.65% at the meeting of the Governing Council of the European Central Bank ending December, 17, 2026?
ForecastExWill the EU Deposit Facilities Rate be set above 2.65% at the meeting of the Governing Council of the European Central Bank ending October, 29, 2026?
ForecastExWIll AfD be part of a federal governing coalition in Germany by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the AfD officially join any German state-level governing coalition by December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the EU Deposit Facilities Rate be set above 2.9% at the meeting of the Governing Council of the European Central Bank ending December, 17, 2026?
ForecastExWill the EU Deposit Facilities Rate be set above 2.9% at the meeting of the Governing Council of the European Central Bank ending October, 29, 2026?
ForecastExRules
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
- This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.
- To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in.
- Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.
- If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's cross-venue reference probability for Elif Eralp is 85%. The venue spread is about 1 percentage point.
CoinRithm reference Elif Eralp 85% · 2 venues · 1 pt venue spread
- Also available on Kalshi — Next Governing Mayor of Berlin? · Elif Eralp 81%
