KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Elif Eralp 45%-21.0ptLeader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
67 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$5.3K
Liquidity
$11.9K
Medium liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Aug 11, 26, 4:19 PMOct 1, 27, 2:00 PM
Trends
Rules
If the named outcome wins the election for Governing Mayor of Berlin by the Berlin House of Representatives following their state election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Berlin House of Representatives
- This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls.
- See full rules for details.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Elif Eralp is 49%. Quotes span about 4 percentage points between the widest venues.
CoinRithm reference Elif Eralp 49% · 2 venues · 4 pt venue spread
- Also available on Polymarket — Next Governing Mayor of Berlin? · Elif Eralp 49%
Open markets
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POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Next Governing Mayor of Berlin??
- Kalshi prices Elif Eralp at 45% as of September 4, 2026.
- When does Next Governing Mayor of Berlin? resolve?
- Next Governing Mayor of Berlin? is scheduled to resolve on October 1, 2027.
- How is Next Governing Mayor of Berlin? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome wins the election for Governing Mayor of Berlin by the Berlin House of Representatives following their state election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is Next Governing Mayor of Berlin? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket.