Current community forecast
No 74%
Forecasters
37
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleMar 1, 24, 2:05 PM UTCJan 1, 31, 5:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the AfD officially join any German state-level governing coalition by December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the German AfD be part of a ruling coalition on state (Bundesland) level by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?
PolymarketGerman "Brandmauer" (AfD collaboration ban) falls before EOY 2026? (official coalition)
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PolymarketWill the EU Deposit Facilities Rate be set above 1.9% at the meeting of the Governing Council of the European Central Bank ending September, 10, 2026?
ForecastExRules
resolves yes if AfD is part of the government of Germany (at the national level) at any point prior to December 31, 2030
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for WIll AfD be part of a federal governing coalition in Germany by 2030??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 74% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does WIll AfD be part of a federal governing coalition in Germany by 2030? resolve?
- WIll AfD be part of a federal governing coalition in Germany by 2030? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2031.
- How is WIll AfD be part of a federal governing coalition in Germany by 2030? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: resolves yes if AfD is part of the government of Germany (at the national level) at any point prior to December 31, 2030