Current implied probability
Jordan Bardella 95%-0.5ptLeader of 35 outcomes
Market quality
60 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$800
Liquidity
$54.9K
High liquidityBid / Ask
93.0% / 97.1%
Spread
4.1 pt
Moderate spread7d Change
-1.4 pts
Market data
Updated 22 minutes ago
Jul 8, 26, 11:30 PMOct 25, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Jordan Bardella95%
Volume trend
$800Jul 920d of dataJul 28
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The National Rally’s 2026 Congress is scheduled for October 24–25, 2026 in Orléans, where the results of the election for party president are expected to be announced.
- This market will resolve to the individual who is officially announced as President of the National Rally following the National Rally’s 2026 Congress.
- To count for resolution, the individual must be officially elected, reelected, or otherwise announced by the National Rally as President of the National Rally following the 2026 Congress.
- If no such President of the National Rally is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.