KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: DoorDash / DASH (99%)
Resolved: Sep 30, 2026, 3:07 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 1, 2026, 1:55 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
SpaceX / SPCX6%
AMD9%
Micron / MU4%
Caterpillar4%
Oracle / ORCL12%
ChatGPT / OpenAI70%
Airbnb / ABNB99%
Paramount / PSKY11%
Tesla / TSLA1%
Qualcomm / QCOM3%
Mastercard / MA1%
IBM1%
Verizon1%
DoorDash / DASHWon
ChatGPT / OpenAILost
Apple / AAPLLost
Intel / INTCLost
Anthropic / ClaudeLost
CNNLost
Fox NewsLost
New York Times / NYTLost
Nvidia / NVDALost
BoeingLost
Airbnb / ABNBLost
MetaLost
DellLost
TikTokLost
Microsoft / MSFTLost
Amazon / AMZNLost
ExxonMobil / XOMLost
Google / GOOG / GOOGLLost
Pfizer / PFELost
General Motors / GMLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
What companies will Trump mention in October?
PolymarketWhich companies will the Trump administration take a stake in?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump say he “forgives” the UK Labour Party, Keir Starmer or in any reference to them?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump say Iceland should be a part of the USA before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump say the name "Henry Novak" on video in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the named outcome, or a plural or possessive form of the named outcome, is stated by Donald Trump before Oct 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationPBSthe President of the United StatesCBSNBCBloombergAxiosCNNReutersThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPoliticoThe New York Times
- Payout criteria The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social).
- The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
- For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.
- Doesn't count for payout Official acts like Executive Orders or bills signed do not count.
- Grammatical/tense inflections.