What are the current odds for Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date??

Polymarket prices 2027 at 53% as of September 1, 2026.

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?

1.4 pts (24h)DogecoinOne-OffMemecoin Tech Space1y

PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Data quality warningStale data

Data as of Sep 1, 2026, 8:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3

Current implied probability

2027 53.2%-1.5pt

Leader of 3 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.

Market quality

40 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

$225

Liquidity

$70.5K

High liquidity

Spread

2.8 pt

Moderate spread

Comments

7d Change

+1.0 pts

Market data

Updated 2 hours ago

Stale

Jan 7, 26, 11:09 PMJan 1, 28, 4:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome.
Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.

Report a data issue with this market

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?

1.4 pts (24h)DogecoinOne-OffMemecoin Tech Space1y

PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Data quality warningStale data

Data as of Sep 1, 2026, 8:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3

Current implied probability

2027 53.2%-1.5pt

Leader of 3 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.

Market quality

40 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

$225

Liquidity

$70.5K

High liquidity

Spread

2.8 pt

Moderate spread

Comments

7d Change

+1.0 pts

Market data

Updated 2 hours ago

Stale

Jan 7, 26, 11:09 PMJan 1, 28, 4:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome.
Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.

Report a data issue with this market

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date??: Polymarket prices 2027 at 53% as of September 1, 2026.
When does Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date? resolve?: Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2028.
How is Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date? settled?: Polymarket settles this market as follows: If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?

Frequently asked questions

Open markets

What will Trump say this week?

When will Dogecoin hit $1?

What will Trump say during RNC Convention?

What will Trump say in September?

What countries will Trump say in September?

What will Fed Gov Waller say during his Economic Outlook?