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Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 7:45 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecast
Yes 81.3%
Forecasters
9
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleFeb 28, 26, 8:46 AM UTCDec 31, 30, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
By when will the Exploration Upper Stage launch?
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PolymarketRules
Jared Isaacman announced today that the exploration upper stage for SLS will be cancelled and replaced with an unspecified "standardized" stage.
- Will this be the Centaur V?
- Resolves to false if the Artemis mission are cancelled before flying a planned Centaur V, the Artemis missions are flown only with an alternative, or if NASA is forced to continue with the EUS as mandated previously.
