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Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 1:48 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecast
2030-12-31 26.1%Leader of 3 outcomes
2030-12-31 26.1%Forecasters
4
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleAug 10, 24, 10:32 PM UTCJan 1, 31, 6:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiWhich country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
KalshiRules
The Exploration Upper Stage is currently planned to fly as part of the Artemis 4 mission in September 2028.
- When will it fly?
- All options are on or before the date/time listed, local time at the launch site.
- Resolves on launch of the carrier rocket; success of the launch or the stage itself is not required.
- All options resolve No if the EUS program is cancelled.
- Use in the Artemis 4 mission is not required; if it's replaced with something else on that mission and then flies on some other launch, options resolve according to when it flies.