PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
June 30, 2027 · —
Loading selected book…
—
Stored reference
June 30, 2027 41%Leader of 6 outcomes
June 30, 2027 41%Market quality
≤74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$17.9K
Liquidity
$112.6K
High liquidityOpen interest
$370.9K
Bid / Ask
— / —
June 30, 2027Spread
—
Comments
8
7d Change
+7.0 pts
Market data
Updated 15 minutes ago
Feb 17, 26, 4:25 PM UTCJul 1, 27, 3:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
February 28Lost
July 15Lost
Before close: 0% ·
March 31Lost
September 30Lost
Before close: 0% ·
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
Loading top holders
Market depth · June 30, 2027
Loading selected book…
—
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
When will Justice Samuel Alito announce his retirement from the Supreme Court?
FutuurWill Samuel Alito leave Supreme Court in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Samuel Alito leave the Supreme Court before the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms
PolymarketTexas Senate winner?
Kalshi2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
- Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
- The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Limitless — Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...? · September 30 50%
- Also available on Kalshi — Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement? · Before Jan 1, 2028 64%