Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?

1.6% (24h)One-OffPolitics US Politics6mo

PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee

Current implied probability

June 30, 2027 55%+5.0%

Leader of 6 outcomes

Market quality

73 / 100

Medium quality

24h Volume

$101.4K

Liquidity

$246.5K

High liquidity

Bid / Ask

3.6% / 4.9%

Spread

36.1%

Wide spread

Market data

Updated 10 minutes ago

Feb 17, 26, 4:25 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

February 28

March 31

Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice

Selected outcome

June 30, 202755%

Stake (USDT)

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.

Large trades

$3.6k79.5%Noyen4u3d ago

$5.7k59.9%Notetrose3d ago

$2.6k43.5%Notetrose3d ago

$1.9k39.9%NoImJustKen3d ago

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Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?

1.6% (24h)One-OffPolitics US Politics6mo

PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee

Current implied probability

June 30, 2027 55%+5.0%

Leader of 6 outcomes

Market quality

73 / 100

Medium quality

24h Volume

$101.4K

Liquidity

$246.5K

High liquidity

Bid / Ask

3.6% / 4.9%

Spread

36.1%

Wide spread

Market data

Updated 10 minutes ago

Feb 17, 26, 4:25 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

February 28

March 31

Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice

Selected outcome

June 30, 202755%

Stake (USDT)

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.

Large trades

$3.6k79.5%Noyen4u3d ago

$5.7k59.9%Notetrose3d ago

$2.6k43.5%Notetrose3d ago

$1.9k39.9%NoImJustKen3d ago

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Presidential Election Winner 2028

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JD Vance: 20%

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Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

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