LimitlessCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedData quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 28, 2026, 12:32 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
September 30 50%
September 30 50%Market quality
22 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
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Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Aug 26, 26, 11:53 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
the named outcome · the named outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...? · June 30, 2027 54%
- Also available on Kalshi — Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement? · Before Jan 1, 2028 63%
