LimitlessCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataData quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Sep 1, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
September 30 50%
Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Aug 26, 26, 11:53 AMJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM
Trends
Rules
the named outcome · the named outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for December 31 is 6%. Quotes span about 44 percentage points between the widest venues.
CoinRithm reference December 31 6% · 2 venues · 44 pt venue spread
- Also available on Polymarket — Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...? · June 30, 2027 36%
Open markets
US Politics
KALSHIMassachusetts Democratic Senate nominee?
- Ed Markey+0.9pt99%
- Seth Moulton-1.3pt1%
- Ayanna Pressley0%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.2M
- 24h Vol
- $807.9K
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.3pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.2pt11%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 more outcomes
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt62%
- October 31+3.0pt40%
- September 30+1.0pt21%
+17 more outcomes
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance+2.9pt52%
- Marco Rubio+1.3pt18%
- Ron DeSantis+0.1pt3%
+39 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt83.2%
- Yes+1.0pt16.8%
- Total Vol
- $63.7M
- 24h Vol
- $328.3K
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.1pt20%
- Jon Ossoff-0.1pt16%
- Gavin Newsom15%
+48 more outcomes
- 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Texas Senate winner?
- Michigan Senate winner?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Trump out as President before 2027?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by which date??
- Limitless prices September 30 at 50% as of September 1, 2026.
- When does Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by which date? resolve?
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by which date? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by which date? settled?
- Limitless settles this market as follows: the named outcome · the named outcome. <p>This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET.
- Where else is Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by which date? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket.