KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Before Jul 1, 2027 31%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
61 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$57
Liquidity
$314.4K
High liquiditySpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Jun 30, 26, 3:17 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Samuel Alito leave Supreme Court in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Samuel Alito announce his retirement by which date?
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KalshiRules
If Samuel Alito retires as Supreme Court justice the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Prediction Source Comparison
Open markets
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- Total Vol
- $28.3M
- 24h Vol
- $342.3K
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.2%
- Marco Rubio20.2%
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+35 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $63.6M
- 24h Vol
- $338.6K
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement??
- Kalshi prices Before Jul 1, 2027 at 31% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement? resolve?
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Samuel Alito retires as Supreme Court justice the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Limitless, Polymarket.