Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 91.9%
Forecasters
51
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Apr 10, 26, 2:57 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 5:00 AM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
Leaving for any reason counts - resignation (effective in 2026), death, impeachment, etc.
