KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Piggy (66%)
Resolved: Sep 30, 2026, 3:21 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Piggy
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
20%
SurpriseData quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 30, 2026, 3:21 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Piggy17%
Whack Job / Wack Job6%
Witch HuntLost
Crooked HillaryLost
Crying Chuck / Cryin ChuckLost
Grossly IncompetentLost
Crooked JoeLost
Low IQLost
Marjorie Traitor GreeneLost
PocahontasLost
Slopadopolous / SlopadopolusLost
Con JobLost
PiggyWon
TrainwreckLost
Whack Job / Wack JobLost
Little CommunistLost
Low EnergyLost
NumbskullLost
EggheadLost
Rocket ManLost
Fat SlobLost
Biden Crime FamilyLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
What will Trump say in October?
PolymarketWhat will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?
KalshiWill Trump say he “forgives” the UK Labour Party, Keir Starmer or in any reference to them?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump say Iceland should be a part of the USA before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump say the name "Henry Novak" on video in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump say he is candidate for a third term as president during the year of 2028?
Manifold MarketsRules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the named outcome, or a plural or possessive form of the named outcome, is stated by Donald Trump before Oct 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe Informationthe President of the United StatesCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPoliticoThe New York Times
- The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social).
- Official acts like Executive Orders or bills signed do not count.
- The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
- Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
- For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.