Will Trump say he is candidate for a third term as president during the year of 2028?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 66%
Forecasters
34
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 50 minutes ago
LaggingFeb 25, 25, 5:04 PM UTCJan 1, 29, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Trump win a third term as president in 2028? (shenanigans allowed)
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump be inaugurated to a THIRD term as the US President?
Manifold MarketsWhich case will have its central holding overturned before the scheduled end of Donald Trump's term as president?
Manifold MarketsWill the USPS be privatized by the end of Trump's term as president?
Manifold MarketsHow many Cabinet members will Trump say he fired in 2026?
KalshiWhat will Trump say during his rally in Michigan?
KalshiRules
The 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution limits presidents to two terms in office.
- Donald Trump served as the 45th President from 2017-2021 and is currently running for a second term in the 2024 election.
- Trump has previously made comments suggesting he might seek more than two terms, though these statements have often been characterized as rhetorical rather than literal policy positions.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, at any point during the calendar year 2028 (January 1, 2028 - December 31, 2028), Donald Trump explicitly states that he is a candidate for a third term as President of the United States.
- This includes:
