This market resolved: AS
Resolved: Oct 4, 2026, 5:27 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 5, 2026, 2:22 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
ST!0%
AS99%
LPV0%
JV0%
ASWon
JVLost
ZZSLost
NALost
ST!Lost
LPVLost
PROLost
SVLost
SLost
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Manifold MarketsRules
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
- In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes.
- In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
- This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament.
- If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.