Current implied probability
AS 34%+0.3%Leader of 36 outcomes
Market quality
64 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$4.7K
Liquidity
$285.2K
High liquidityBid / Ask
32.0% / 36.7%
Spread
14.7%
Wide spread7d Change
+21.6%
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Dec 16, 25, 10:29 PMOct 3, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
AS34%
Volume trend
$4.7kJul 27d of dataJul 8
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Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
- In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes.
- In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
- This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament.
- If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.