KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningSource data degradedStale data
Data as of Oct 31, 2026, 11:37 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
One Nation · —
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Stored price
One Nation 57.5%Leader of 6 outcomes
One Nation 57.5%Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$352
Open interest
$8.9K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
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One NationSpread
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Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingSep 8, 26, 11:00 PM UTCNov 28, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · One Nation
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
If the third-most total seats in the Victorian Legislative Assembly are held by One Nation following the 2026 Victorian state election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Victorian Electoral Commission
- Rankings are determined by total seat count after the election, including seats not contested. A seat is won when the candidate is declared elected by the electoral authority and either the challenge period has expired, legal challenges are resolved, or the member has taken their seat. Party affiliation is based on the party under which the candidate was elected, regardless of later changes. In case of ties for a rank, all tied parties at that rank resolve to Yes with values split proportionally. If a ranking is skipped due to ties (e.g., two parties tie for #1, next is #3), markets for the skipped rank (#2) resolve to No. Unlisted parties or groupings count toward rankings and the tie denominator; if only unlisted parties occupy third place, all listed markets resolve to No. Liberal and Nationals seats are counted separately and are NOT combined as the Coalition.
Rules for each outcome
- One Nation
- If the third-most total seats in the Victorian Legislative Assembly are held by One Nation following the 2026 Victorian state election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Greens
- If the third-most total seats in the Victorian Legislative Assembly are held by the Greens following the 2026 Victorian state election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Nationals
- If the third-most total seats in the Victorian Legislative Assembly are held by the Nationals following the 2026 Victorian state election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Labor
- If the third-most total seats in the Victorian Legislative Assembly are held by Labor following the 2026 Victorian state election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Liberal
- If the third-most total seats in the Victorian Legislative Assembly are held by Liberal following the 2026 Victorian state election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Victorian Socialists
- If the third-most total seats in the Victorian Legislative Assembly are held by Victorian Socialists following the 2026 Victorian state election, then the market resolves to Yes.